Microsoft Shock Wipes Billions As Ai Gamble Rattles Markets

Microsoft Shock Wipes Billions As Ai Gamble Rattles Markets

Microsoft shares have recorded their steepest fall in more than five years, a sharp market reaction that has reignited debate about the cost and credibility of the global artificial intelligence race. Over the course of the week, the stock dropped by 10 percent, erasing hundreds of billions of dollars in value and marking one of the most severe single-week losses outside the extraordinary volatility seen during the Covid-era market turmoil.

The scale of the decline was stark. Microsoft shares closed at $433.50 on Thursday, down from $481.63 just two trading days earlier. That rapid slide wiped approximately $357 billion off the company’s market capitalisation, an extraordinary reversal for one of the world’s most valuable and widely held technology companies, and a reminder of how quickly investor sentiment can turn.

Ai Spending Collides With Slowing Cloud Growth

At the centre of the selloff is mounting concern over Microsoft’s aggressive spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure at a time when growth in its core cloud business is losing momentum. The company reported a 66 percent jump in capital expenditure to a record $37.5 billion in its most recent quarter, a figure that has intensified scrutiny of whether such investment can be justified by future returns.

Azure, Microsoft’s flagship cloud platform and a key driver of its valuation, posted slower growth than in the previous quarter. For investors who have long viewed cloud expansion as a reliable engine of earnings growth, the deceleration has raised uncomfortable questions about whether AI is supplementing the business or straining it.

Investor Doubts Surface Over Returns On Ai

Microsoft has positioned itself as one of the most forceful champions of artificial intelligence among US technology giants. Billions of dollars have been channelled into data centres, specialised chips, and a deepening partnership with OpenAI, while generative tools are being embedded across Windows, Office, and Azure. At the same time, the company has cut thousands of jobs as part of a broader restructuring.

Yet the latest market reaction suggests growing scepticism over whether the vast sums being poured into AI will translate into meaningful financial returns. As Bloomberg noted, the selloff reflects unease that enthusiasm for AI may have outpaced its proven ability to deliver sustainable profits at scale.

Analysts Question Microsoft Valuation

Some market strategists argue that Microsoft’s share price had become detached from realistic expectations of near-term performance. The reassessment has been swift and unforgiving, driven by fears that AI-related costs could weigh on margins for longer than previously anticipated.

“Since it is becoming even more evident that Microsoft is not going to garner a strong ROI from their massive AI investment, their shares need to be revalued back down to a level that is more consistent with its historic fair value,” Matthew Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co, told Bloomberg.

Tech Giants Caught In The Downdraft

The shockwaves from Microsoft’s slump rippled across the broader technology sector, briefly dragging down other heavyweights whose valuations are closely tied to the AI narrative. Alphabet and Nvidia each at one point saw more than $100 billion wiped off their market value as investors reassessed risk across the sector.

While Alphabet recovered to close up 0.7 percent and Amazon ended the session down a modest 0.5 percent, the episode highlighted how interconnected market expectations have become. A stumble by one AI leader can rapidly unsettle confidence in others.

OpenAi Partnership Deepens Reliance

Microsoft reported that its quarterly profit benefited from investments linked to OpenAI, reinforcing how central the partnership has become to its AI strategy. This growing reliance, however, comes as other parts of the business show signs of strain, particularly in personal computing and gaming.

Those divisions posted a combined decline of 3 percent, adding to concerns that AI-driven gains may not be sufficient to offset softness elsewhere. For investors, the balance between long-term innovation and short-term performance is becoming increasingly delicate.

Global Economic Stakes Extend Beyond Microsoft

The implications of a faltering AI boom extend well beyond a single company’s share price. Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund’s chief economist warned that the global economy’s resilience could be tested if artificial intelligence fails to deliver the productivity gains many governments and corporations are counting on.

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas warned that the global economy’s growing dependence on a US-led AI boom leaves it exposed, with any shortfall in the technology’s potential likely to trigger a sharp pullback in investment.

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